BlueSky FI
Financial Independence forecast
Financial Independence forecast
Markets / Divergence
Watch for gaps between the macro backdrop and what live markets are pricing. The wider the split, the more selective decisions need to be.
Conflict Score
40/100
Moderate (40/100)
Macro Composite
70/100
Derived from consumer, labor, and broader macro conditions.
Prediction Pulse
50/100
Balanced bettor positioning in macro markets.
Volatility Check
18.0
Fear & Greed 50/100. Rising VIX with upbeat pricing is usually a warning sign.
Yield Curve
+0.10%
Positive slope supports a calmer macro setup.
Mortgage Spread
2.30%
Wider mortgage spreads keep housing pressure elevated even if risk appetite improves.
Current Read
Macro data is firmer than market pricing • Moderate conflict
Macro score is 70/100 while prediction markets are at 50/100. The current gap is 20 points.
Use this page when the tape feels inconsistent: rising volatility with optimistic pricing, stronger macro data with weak market posture, or mortgage spreads staying wide even as risk appetite improves.
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